Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.246494 0.278497 0.312494 0.351236 0.394099 0.440005 0.492823
2025-08-24 0.202144 0.245017 0.293317 0.351538 0.419584 0.496353 0.589267
2025-08-31 0.170046 0.219129 0.277298 0.350850 0.440854 0.546854 0.680543
2025-09-07 0.149452 0.203323 0.270073 0.358045 0.470009 0.606749 0.785251
2025-09-14 0.130438 0.186611 0.259128 0.358371 0.489230 0.654297 0.876423
2025-09-21 0.115177 0.172653 0.249708 0.358849 0.507426 0.700335 0.967012
2025-09-28 0.102658 0.160772 0.241474 0.359462 0.524836 0.745248 1.057409
2025-10-05 0.093609 0.152658 0.237355 0.364813 0.548226 0.798481 1.160627
2025-10-12 0.087067 0.147417 0.236600 0.374397 0.577481 0.860489 1.278004
2025-10-19 0.079799 0.140211 0.232138 0.377876 0.597680 0.910265 1.379989
2025-10-26 0.074422 0.135376 0.230689 0.385425 0.623798 0.969119 1.496776
2025-11-02 0.070409 0.132309 0.231593 0.396365 0.655199 1.036566 1.628242
2025-11-09 0.063736 0.124298 0.224279 0.394378 0.667481 1.077534 1.724542
2025-11-16 0.058079 0.117447 0.218245 0.393887 0.681856 1.122064 1.827849
2025-11-23 0.052912 0.110907 0.212131 0.392690 0.694795 1.164694 1.929748
2025-11-30 0.049745 0.107716 0.211445 0.400388 0.722290 1.230724 2.069805
2025-12-07 0.045734 0.102470 0.206664 0.400622 0.737292 1.277500 2.181452
2025-12-14 0.042155 0.097673 0.202253 0.401081 0.752475 1.324906 2.295547
2025-12-21 0.038946 0.093265 0.198161 0.401721 0.767795 1.372889 2.412021
2025-12-28 0.036679 0.090566 0.197042 0.407595 0.792309 1.436683 2.556063
2026-01-04 0.035134 0.089244 0.198444 0.418140 0.825415 1.515823 2.727710
2026-01-11 0.032959 0.086297 0.196388 0.421964 0.846576 1.575515 2.869044
2026-01-18 0.031416 0.084606 0.196700 0.430271 0.876121 1.650375 3.037979